Power Market Insights Q4 2025

THEMA’s Power Market Insights provides a quarterly overview of power price developments, transaction activity and project announcements across the Nordic region. In Q4 2025, Northern Nordics continued to record some of Europe’s lowest power prices, while southern areas were more closely aligned with Continental gas and CO2 cost dynamics.

We are pleased to launch Issue Q4 2025 of Power Market Insights

Renewable M&A activity showed a modest uptick during the quarter but remains around 40 percent below the 2023 peak. At the same time, announced renewable infrastructure projects have declined materially, reflecting higher financing costs, lower price expectations and grid capacity constraints.

The special focus in this edition is weather-driven uncertainty in the power market. As the share of renewable generation increases, prices and risk become more weather-dependent, particularly in the Nordics, with large variations between wet and dry years.

For access to detailed datasets, transaction-level information or tailored analyses supporting specific strategic or investment decisions, please contact us directly.

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